Leader of the New Zealand Opportunity Party Qiulae Wong speaks to the media after a breakfast with the Hutt Valley Chamber of Commerce in Lower Hutt, on October 29, 2026.
Marty Melville/AFP/Getty Images
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New Zealand is set for one of its tightest elections in years, with the incumbent conservative coalition facing an uncertain path to power and polls pointing to a millennial newcomer becoming the kingmaker.

Support for two parties that have dominated Wellington politics for almost a century – the center-right National party and center-left Labour party – has cratered below 30% respectively in public polling, with voters turning to players entrenched further to the right, the left, and to a centrist party that could enter parliament for the first time.